Friday, October 1, 2010

International conflict:

War between Israel and Iran in 2010?

How long can Iran continue to develop atomic weapons to threaten Israel before the Mideast will explode into war?

War in this oil region is bound to roil financial markets.  The human consequences will be horrific and countless thousands of innocents will be killed.The weak military posture of the Obama administration has encouraged Iran to continue its nuclear weapon program.
Few think that the US and the rest of the world will take military action and change Iran’s behavior.
The brutal Iran regime will kill and torture its own people to stay in power.
Whether Israel has been right or wrong in the past, it now faces decisions for self preservation.
The hatreds in the region have festered for half a century, or more.

Iran at the United Nations

President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad of the Islamic Republic of Iran, vilified Israel before the United Nations on September 23, 2009, claiming that the Holocaust was the opinion of “just a few”, indicating his preference for Barack Obama over George Bush.



Talk of war is in the news.
Representatives of only a few nations walked out in protest.
Ahmadinejad has already announced that Iran’s foreign policy calls for the annihilation of Israel.

Ahmadinejad announces the “End of Days”

In winding up his speech to the UN in New York on September 23, 2009, the President of Iran said,
And the last point that I’d like to make. Dear friends and colleagues; The world is in continuous change and evolution. The promised destiny for mankind is the establishment of the humane pure life. Will come a time when justice will prevail across the globe and every single human being will enjoy respect and dignity. That will be the time when the Mankind’s path to moral and spiritual perfectness will be opened and his journey to God and the manifestation of the God’s Divine Names will come true.



One of many videos on youtube about the arrival of the Mahdi
The mankind should excel to represent the God’s “knowledge and wisdom”, His “compassion and benevolence”, His “justice and fairness”, His “power and art”, and His “kindness and forgiveness”. These will all come true under the rule of the Perfect Man, the last Divine Source on earth, Hazrat Mahdi (Peace be upon him); an offspring of the Prophet of Islam, who will re-emerge, and Jesus Christ (Peace be upon him) and other noble men will accompany him in the accomplishment of this, grand universal mission. And this is the belief in Entezar (Awaiting patiently for the Imam to return). Waiting with patience for the rule of goodness and the governance of the Best which is a universal human notion and which is a source of nations’ hope for the betterment of the world.
They will come, and with the help of righteous people and true believers will materialize the man’s long-standing desires for freedom, perfectness, maturity, security and tranquility, peace and beauty. They will come to put an end to war and aggression and present the entire knowledge as well as spirituality and friendship to the whole world. Yes, indeed, the bright future for the mankind will come.
Although these words seem peaceful, in the context of fanatical belief in the imminent “End of Days”, this is hardly the case.

US support of Israel is not assured

Even before the 2008 election, Israelis suspected that Barack Obama was not their friend, pointing to the advisers that he had chosen as indicative of his pro-Palestinian, anti-Israeli bias.
On August 27, 2009, the Jerusalem Post published a poll indicating that only 4% of Israelis saw Obama’s policies as pro-Israel. The majority of Israeli Jews thought that Barack Obama favored the Palestinians.



In contrast, a Gallup Poll on May 1, 2009 indicated that 79% of American Jews approved of Barack Obama, an approval rating among religious groups only surpassed by US Muslims (85%), and far more than US Protestants (58%) or Mormons (45%) favorable towards Obama.
The explanation for the dichotomy between Israelis and US Jews is given by Norman Podhoretz in his recent book, Why are Jews Liberals

“Liberalism has become the religion of American Jews,” he writes, “even though it conflicts in substance with the Torah . . . [and] the most basic of all Jewish interests — the survival of the Jewish people.”
With a pro-Palestinian US President and with Iran about to become a nuclear power, while declaring its intention to wipe Israel from the face of the earth, it would seem that Israel has only a brief window to attack Iran and destroy its nuclear potential, before it is too late.
Under President Bush, the United States had agreed to provide multi-billion dollar funding and technical support to Israel for military purposes — although there is no formal mutual defense pact between the countries.
President Obama is being pressured by his supporters to suspend funding to the Israelis.
Soon, Israel may be alone, without a powerful friend in the US.

War clouds in the Mid-East

With waning US support, it seems that Israel must go it alone and determine what steps it must take to survive the Iranian threat. But this is nothing new.
Iran’s nuclear threat to the existence of Israel and memories of the Holocaust will focus Israeli minds on how best to deal with Mahmoud Ahmadinejad and his belief in the imminent return of the Twelfth Imam and the End of Days.
The strategy that Israel chooses to deal with Iran will determine whether there will be war or peace in the Mid-East, which in turn will effect worldwide prices of energy and economic conditions in many countries, including the US.


In the US, a spike in the price of oil combined with the looming inflationary effects of the Obama administration’s various “stimulus programs”, will place severe pressure on the US economy.
Many think that Israel will be forced to strike Iran soon, before the Russians deliver defensive radar systems that would make a conventional attack on Iran’s nuclear installations even more difficult.
However, it is possible that Israelis may decide that a preemptive strike on Iran, using conventional weapons, is not in their best interests.ran’s nuclear

facilities are dispersed and buried underground in multiple locations at the extreme outer limits of Israeli air strike capability.
You can see here some important news.......

 

If Israel were to attack Iran’s nuclear facilities using conventional air war techniques, the chances are that, at best, Iran’s possession of nuclear weapons would be postponed only a few years, while Iran would gain justification, in the eyes of many in the world, to attack Israel in return.









 







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